Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.850980 0.958131 1.074884 1.211757 1.368088 1.541381 1.748455
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.681488 0.825061 0.994442 1.209907 1.477963 1.802094 2.226172
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.579668 0.735294 0.928577 1.187955 1.529467 1.967265 2.576605
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.525811 0.693374 0.910620 1.215621 1.637078 2.205204 3.039642
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.469375 0.639282 0.867620 1.200624 1.680044 2.354719 3.392824
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.432326 0.606203 0.847582 1.212002 1.756741 2.554381 3.835981
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.393508 0.566047 0.812510 1.196193 1.789269 2.689193 4.192878
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.362585 0.533967 0.785317 1.187905 1.829968 2.837373 4.584160
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.325327 0.488940 0.734447 1.137557 1.798315 2.866077 4.779362
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.309124 0.474476 0.728553 1.156677 1.878891 3.082804 5.316560
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.295379 0.462522 0.725213 1.178932 1.965721 3.317202 5.911084
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.279941 0.446492 0.713766 1.186121 2.026558 3.511338 6.453494
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.264086 0.428935 0.698999 1.187307 2.078741 3.698692 7.013909
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.251656 0.416164 0.691244 1.200053 2.153084 3.934781 7.701845
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.234262 0.393546 0.664713 1.176422 2.156904 4.036678 8.128587
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.226684 0.387345 0.666220 1.204043 2.260419 4.342391 9.022350
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.213278 0.369816 0.646135 1.189170 2.279050 4.479548 9.567646
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.204774 0.360466 0.640085 1.200434 2.350548 4.731892 10.403710
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.193262 0.344797 0.621179 1.184791 2.365112 4.865123 10.981614
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.183626 0.331963 0.606658 1.176589 2.394236 5.032364 11.662790
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.169569 0.309892 0.573016 1.126768 2.329560 4.984930 11.810094
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.164741 0.305170 0.572643 1.145689 2.416539 5.289534 12.887299
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.160532 0.301357 0.573745 1.167710 2.512397 5.624999 14.094362